Hurricanes will become much more dangerous. World's tallest building to be completed
Futurologists for the period from 2060 to 2100 promise terrible cataclysms to the population of the Earth. Energy and Natural resources will be almost completely exhausted, and population growth, on the contrary, will reach its peak. As far as climate is concerned, changes environment will be so global that they will turn the life of mankind into a real hell. We have compiled a collection of the most interesting predictions for the future
Turkish futurologist Ugur Kochbash believes that some countries will be under water or become a desert unsuitable for life. Congo, Uganda, Kenya and other countries located around the equator will disappear from the face of the earth, as if they never existed. As a result, millions of residents will be forced to flee and look for a new shelter. The largest migration in human history will continue until 2080. In search of a new homeland, millions of people will lose their lives. And by 2100 the world will change beyond recognition. Kochbash is sure that this process will be the most tragic in terms of destruction, wars, troubles and natural disasters in the history of mankind after Noah's flood. But there are those who will be lucky in this apocalypse of the future.
Scandinavians will only win
The Scandinavian countries, according to futuristic forecasts, will only benefit. The climate here will become much more moderate, which will have a beneficial effect on agriculture and the general well-being of people. Also, a comfortable existence awaits Russia, Iceland and Canada. But the island states will be divided into two categories.
Today it seems absolutely unrealistic, but the Turkish futurist is absolutely convinced that the countries in the Pacific Ocean will completely disappear by this time. While Japan, the UK and New Zealand will be able to avoid a catastrophe, but will switch to full self-sufficiency, breaking off any connection with the continents. Instead of the US, Canada will become a superpower, and in South America, in turn, a stream of refugees from those who have fallen into ecological catastrophe countries. As a result, the demographic structure of the young states will change completely. People will not have enough food, because of which real battles for a piece of bread will begin. But India and especially China, on the contrary, will experience a demographic decline.
As for the political overturns in the world community, the influx of migrants to Europe will continue. In a number of countries - Spain, Italy and Greece - nationalists will take over, as a result of which power will go to extreme right-wing political parties. The European Union, as predicted already today, will order to live long, after which a global redistribution of agricultural and natural property will begin. And first of all - water. Most of the world's governments in this chaos will themselves relinquish power or lose it as a result of popular uprisings. As a result, the "president" of most states will be anarchy.
Russia will become a superpower
For Russia, the majority of futurologists, including Western ones, predict a happy future, which inspires optimism. Already in 2040, thanks to the vast territories, our country will become an agrarian superpower. In addition, Russia is the second in the world in terms of natural water reserves, and it was, is and will be the most valuable resource of mankind at all times. True, there is an opinion that by this time from Russian Federation can leave the SFO. The loss of Siberia is traditionally associated with the participation of the Chinese, but not at all because of military conflicts. Everything is much more prosaic. In the territories of the Siberian Federal District and Far East today there are only about twenty-five million Russians. It is natural that overpopulated China has long been staring at neighboring territories that are comfortable for living. And the migration of the Chinese, both legal and not, is steadily going on today. So by 2040 the number of ethnic Chinese in these Russian territories may well exceed the critical figure. And this means that ex-residents of the Celestial Empire will be elected to local governments, actively influence the way of life, bringing their national traditions. As a result, these territories, according to futurologists, will depend more on the PRC than on the Russian Federation.
In 2050, our Russian spacecraft will roam the entire universe, and it is for these years that space tourism is predicted to flourish. Russia is expected to become a leader in this area of interplanetary business.
Robots will serve in the army
In another twenty years, in 2070, not yesterday's school graduates, but robotic conscripts will go into the army. First of all, this will affect the Air Force: the aircraft will become fully autonomous and will be controlled artificial intelligence. It is assumed that Russia will completely renew the army, replacing people with machines. At about the same time, Russia is facing the final battle with Turkey, whose revanchist sentiments will make themselves felt by this time. As a result, Constantinople will go to Russia, and Turkey, as an independent state, will disappear from the political map of the world. And, finally, in 2100, according to the forecasts of not only futurologists, but also a number of well-known visionaries, Russia will reach its peak. A fundamentally new fuel will appear, small towns will unite, the people will be strong and healthy - both physically and mentally. spiritual sense. There will be no need. In general, the golden age will finally come.
Mobile World Congress, taking place this week in Barcelona, was not limited to presentations of new smartphones and tablets. Thus, Kaspersky Lab has launched a large-scale interactive project Earth 2050, a website that collects and visually embodied all the ideas of experts and futurologists about the technological development of the planet in the next 10, 20 and 30 years.
In implementing the project, Kaspersky Lab programmers were assisted by the world's largest futurologists, including Jan Pearson, whose predictions come true with a high degree accuracy. At first, on the site you can see scenarios for the technological development of 80 cities around the world, gradually the number of locations will grow. Of the Russian locations, only three are represented in the project so far - these are the city of Tomsk, the port of Dikson and the Vostochny cosmodrome.
"Earth 2050" is an interactive project, so site visitors can not only take a look at the landscapes of future megacities and read the predictions of futurologists, but also agree or disagree with these predictions and even send their own forecasts, which will be processed by experts and may soon appear on the site.
New York
Most forecasts are devoted to New York. According to scientists, the problem of traffic jams in largest city America will decide on transforming cars that, if necessary, will be able to spread their wings and rise above the ground, and in normal traffic turn back into an ordinary compact city car.
The city center will turn into a huge "green zone", where traffic will be prohibited, and it will be possible to move only on bicycles. However, bicycles will also change - pedaling will no longer be necessary for cyclists, since all bicycles will be equipped with electric motors. This will allow cyclists not to spend a lot of energy on riding and overcome much longer distances.
The clothes of the inhabitants of the metropolis will also change - graphene will replace the current materials. Graphene clothes are waterproof, do not get dirty and can last up to 200 (!) years. In addition, clothes will become smart - they will take the shape of your body and remember your usual temperature regime in order to maintain it in the future.
City buildings will become energy independent, centralized electrification will sink into oblivion. Instead, every home will be equipped with solar panels and wind generators that provide residents with the necessary energy.
Shanghai
Asia's most technologically advanced city is projected to be very different from New York. So, for 2030, the appearance of cars with wheels in the shape of a ball is planned here. This form will allow vehicles move in any direction and give them unprecedented freedom. In addition, most cars will be unmanned, so that the owner of the car will be able to go about his business on the road, not paying attention to what is happening around him.
Another transport innovation is the Hyperloop vacuum train, the first branch of which has already begun to be built in United Arab Emirates. Shanghai has also expressed a desire to get a train, which, according to plans, should move faster than an airplane and reach a speed of about 1200 km / h.
It will become easier to navigate the city thanks to the "Virtual City" system - put on 3D glasses and a three-dimensional hologram of the metropolis appears in front of you, which can be zoomed in and out depending on the need, as on online maps. Correspondence, parcels and purchases will be delivered around the city using drones, and a special multi-level parking for drones, the so-called “drone hive”, will appear in the city center.
A new type of clothing that will be popular in Shanghai in 20-25 years is spray clothing. The essence of the technology is this: you choose the style of the dress you like, after which the robot scans your figure and creates a dress right on you using instantly drying sprays.
Tomsk
By 2040, the mining industry will become fully automated, and the profession of a miner will cease to exist due to serious harm and danger to life and health. Airships that have lost their importance for aviation will receive a new impetus for development. These aircraft with a payload of up to 60 tons and moving at speeds up to 140 km/h will make cargo transportation much safer and more efficient. In addition, airships will solve the transport problems of Siberia.
Global warming, according to futurologists, will give a serious impetus to the development of Siberia. Every ten years borders climatic zones are shifting about 70 km to the north, which will soon allow Siberia to become the main agricultural region of Russia.
A Tech Insider writer asked British futurologist Ian Pearson (known for his 85% predictive accuracy) about the innovations that will soon revolutionize the tech world. We publish a translation of the Tech Insider material with expert answers.
We will be able to observe drone delivery within the next two years.
Source: Google
The main limitation here is legislative regulation rather than technological progress. But according to Pearson, by 2018 drones will find application, for example, in the field of supplying medical supplies for hospitals.
At the same time, the researcher believes that the authorities will not allow drones to spread too widely. So, flying machines will be able to carry only essential cargo, but will not be involved in such mundane activities as pizza delivery.
Long-distance hyperloop travel could be a reality in six years.
Source: Reuters/Steve Marcus
As you know, the hyperloop's high-speed transport system will soon prove itself in action. In May, startup Hyperloop One already conducted a test run of its prototype. The company also entered into an agreement with the Moscow authorities to run one of these trains in Russia.
In five or six years, Pearson expects to see a short-range hyperloop carrying passengers between cities.
It is likely that machines will begin to think like people by 2025.
Source: DNA Films/Film4/Universal Pictures
According to Pearson, it is quite plausible that computers will acquire consciousness by 2025, even earlier - by 2020.
"Google DeepMind hasn't gotten to that level yet, but I'm really sure they are on the right way, and by 2020, their computer could surpass humans and gain consciousness,” the expert claims. "This could be the beginning of the end, seriously."
The first human flight to Mars may take place in 2030.
Source: Reuters/ESA
This prediction, in fact, gives Elon Musk ample time to realize his plan to send people to Mars. At Vox's Code Conference in June, Musk announced plans to send astronauts to the Red Planet in 2024 to reach their destination within a year.
“We will see the first people who flew to Mars, and the robots will prepare the necessary, for example, create the right materials[on Mars - approx. Tech Insider],” Pearson says. “We will have to do this, because you can only take so much [cargo - approx. lane].
In the next 10 years, prostheses could become advanced enough to empower humans.
Source: Omkaar Kotedia
We are already seeing people with high-tech prostheses. Twenty-five-year-old biologist James Young uses artificial arm with built-in flashlight and personal drone. BUT prosthesis French artist acts as a tattoo machine.
According to Pearson, artificial limbs will continue to evolve and reach the point where people will be completely satisfied with the fusion of technology and the body. For example, those who wish will be able to use cybernetic implants to strengthen their own legs.
Within 10 years, clothes can give us superpowers.
Source: Hyundai
The most obvious example, according to Pearson, is the exoskeleton. Recently such costume, designed for lifting weights, developed by Hyundai.
But the futurist also foreshadows other types of advanced clothing like leggings that make walking and running easier. Or a suit, like Spider-Man, made of polymer gels that can increase physical strength.
In 10 years, virtual reality can replace textbooks.
Source: Google
“You could take the students to the scenery of the past and show the battle or other events that took place,” Pearson says. “Things like this are easier to explain if students see them in action rather than on the pages of textbooks.”
Project Google Expeditions already allows students to travel via VR to places like the Great Barrier Reef. In September, the beta version of this application was released.
Smartphones will stop being used by 2025.
According to Pearson, smartphones will become obsolete by 2025 due to the development of augmented reality.
“If you have a smartphone in 2025, you will become a laughingstock,” says the expert.
Within the next decade, augmented reality screens could be pulled out of small bracelets or other jewelry, eliminating the need to carry smartphones. Companies like Magic Leap are preparing AR technologies for the mass market.
Self-driving vehicles could be ubiquitous in 10 years.
Source: Ford
Whether these will be cars or not, according to Pearson, is a debatable issue.
The futurist describes a rental transport system where people could rent "cheap steel boxes" to carry passengers. A capsule-like self-driving system would be more economical than something more complex like self-driving cars.
However, with so many manufacturers dedicated to developing self-driving cars, chances are we'll see the fruits of their labor within a decade.
In the next 20 years, 3D printing could be used to build even more buildings.
Chinese company prints houses at a rate of 10 buildings per day
Architects from all over the world are competing to create the tallest building ever printed.
Winsun said it built 10 homes in China in one day, spending $5,000 each, through printing. A USC professor is working on a giant 3D printer capable of printing complete houses with electrical and water systems.
Pearson believes that, due to urban population growth, the ability to print cheap houses will become even more in demand.
It is likely that people will start using robots for housework and friendships starting in 2030.
“Artificial intelligence and robotics will provide us with more machines to help and communicate, as many people will live alone,” Pearson says. "So communication is one of the main targets for future robots."
Toyota has already announced its plans to produce robots equipped to help people in everyday life.
We can settle in a virtual world like the Matrix by 2045.
Source: The Matrix
According to Pearson, the development of nanotechnology will allow us to connect the brain to a computer and live in a simulation of reality.
"Definitely, it will be possible to create something like the Matrix, if you want," - says the expert. Somewhere in 2045, 2050 it will be possible to connect the human brain to a computer so that people believe that they live in a virtual world.
According to the futurist, this idea echoes Elon Musk's thoughts on neural lace, which the head of Tesla voiced at Vox's Code Conference in Southern California.
Neural lace is a wireless neural interface that could add a digital layer of intelligence to our brain. This is a concept that nanotechnologists are working on.
Humans could become cyborgs by 2045.
Almost certainly, the changes will affect the British Isles, and it is from them, in fact, that the big territorial changes in Europe will begin. Already in 2013, according to a referendum, Scotland can secede from the UK. With the Scottish nationalists now in the parliamentary majority in Edinburgh, the likelihood of such a scenario is huge. With the exit from the Commonwealth of Scotland, the very name "Great Britain" will lose its original meaning. Moreover, the secession of Scotland is likely to raise separatist tendencies in Ulster, which in the future may lead to the unification of all of Ireland (or the entry of Ulster into Ireland on a federal basis). At the same time, London (taking into account its ethnic and mental affinity with "continental" England) will certainly be able to save Wales.
Significant changes will affect the Iberian Peninsula. The growing financial and economic crisis (unemployment in Spain is now the largest in the EU) will lead to the intensification of decentralization processes, primarily among the Basques and Catalans. It is these two ethnic groups that have the least ethnic ties with the Castilians, and therefore the likelihood of the emergence of at least two new states - the Basque Country and Catalonia - is significantly high. Madrid will most likely be able to keep the rest of the regions, although Spain will have to switch to a federal, and maybe even a confederal system, in terms of its political hostel.
France is in for even bigger changes in the near future. The country is undergoing colossal multicultural and socio-political changes, which in the future may significantly weaken the central government. In fact, it is already known today that the French ethnos could not digest and assimilate the colored population of their former colonies. With modern migration and demographic processes, by 2035 the white French majority will be in territorial reservations on their own territory. Therefore, one of the options for solving the ethnic problem is to "cut off" a part of the territory (with the subsequent deportation of the colored population there), which is most populated by newcomer ethnic groups. Today, such a territory organically develops around Marseille - Piedmont and part of southern Burgundy. Therefore, there is a possibility that an Arab Islamist state will appear there by 2035. In addition, with the weakening of the central government, it can be assumed that part of Aquitaine will go to the Basques, and the population of Lorraine (with its center in Strasbourg) will become part of Germany on a federal basis. In this situation, it is likely that the Corsicans will also be able to achieve independence - the age-old separatist headache France.
With the Benelux, everything is quite simple. The Flemings and the Walloons will still part, the issue still rests only on the capital of Belgium - Brussels, which, being Flemish in population, is nevertheless located on Walloon territory. In any case, the "expenditure" is likely to happen peacefully, and the Flemings will also enter into an alliance (at least economic) with the Netherlands.
Map 2 - Central Europe.
According to the analyzed sources, there will be no smaller changes here. There is a high probability that a united Italy will collapse ( the border will pass along the southern tip of Tuscany and Emilia-Romagna). In this case, the initiator of the divorce will be northern Italy, which will create a federation like Germany or Switzerland. The weaker south will surely lose Sardinia and Sicily, who will also declare their independence. However, the Italians will retain the closest ties, and the independence of all regions will be more formal and based on the distribution of the "budget pie".
Significant changes should also take place in the Balkans. With the strengthening of the Islamic factor (especially in France), there is a possibility that a lobby will arise in Europe to eliminate the statehood of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The territory of the country can be divided between Serbia and Croatia (the case when Belgrade and Zagreb can still find a common language). As a compromise for Ankara, there will be a political unification of Albania, which, in addition to joining Kosovo, can get the western regions of Macedonia (given that the country's population is 30% ethnic Albanians, this is more than likely).
Hungary can significantly expand its geographical borders, which, with a favorable political situation, can regain part of Romanian Transylvania, as well as Northern Banat (the territory of modern Vojvodina in Serbia).
Even more unfortunate events (of course, given the unfavorable political situation) may await Poland. The country may lose ethnic German lands - Pomerania and Silesia, and, subject to agreements between Moscow and Berlin, also its northeastern regions (Russia in this case may also cede the Kaliningrad region to the Germans).
Part of the territory of the modern Podkarpackie and Lubelskie voivodships can move away from Poland to Western Ukraine. Thus, the ideological unity between Lviv (which by 2035 may become the capital of Galicia) and Warsaw will be undermined.
From other western regions of modern Ukraine, the Rusyns can gain independence, while the Chernivtsi region, as a compromise, gets the chance to be part of Romania.
Map 3 - Eastern Europe.
Let's start with the northern part. Scandinavia, according to forecast estimates, should not be affected by territorial changes (even the question of ownership of the Åland Islands with a predominantly Swedish population has shown historically that Protestant Europe is able to resolve almost all disagreements). But certain changes can occur in the Baltics. With the weakening of European unity, as well as the political strengthening of Germany, part of the territories with a dominant Russian population (Narva region in Estonia, eastern Latvia with a center in Daugavpils) may go to Russia. In this regard, only Lithuania will significantly secure itself, having lost its common border with the Russian Federation.
Belarus will not exist at all. It practically does not exist now, and by 2035 it may be a sort of ethnic province within Russia, like the Urals or the Volga region. Significant changes may also occur with Ukraine. With a further political split in the country, Donbass, southern Ukraine and Crimea may fall away from Kyiv. Moreover, a half-hearted position in central Ukraine may lead to the fact that the modern political unity between Lviv and Kyiv may be destroyed, and the country will return to the approximate borders of the middle of the 17th century. For the loss of Transylvania, Romania can receive not only Moldova (without Transnistria, which will depart the Russian Federation), but also the territory of the southern part of the Odessa region.
Huge changes will also affect the Caucasus (perhaps the least predictable region). It is unlikely that Russia will be able to keep the North Caucasian republics (first of all, this concerns Dagestan, Chechnya and Ingushetia). A number of contemporary initiatives of the Kremlin, for example, social help mothers only in regions with a low birth rate (i.e., non-Muslim) or the rejection of direct budgeting for Chechnya - more and more lead to the fact that "farewell" to the republics will be inevitable. The only question is in what form and on whose initiative. In the 1990s, the process started from below and just from the Caucasus. Now the separation can take place "in Stalin's way", with cutting off the most densely populated mountainous regions, and not along the existing administrative borders, but, for example, along the Terek.
In Transcaucasia, Abkhazia (taking into account its small population) may administratively become part of the Krasnodar Territory, while Georgia itself (subject to the establishment of a puppet regime there) will return South Ossetia as a compromise. The resolution of the Karabakh issue is possible only if a common border between Russia and Armenia is established. Among the various plans, there was, for example, the option of creating a "transport corridor". However, in this case, Georgia itself will have to be divided into Western and Eastern (separating at least Kakheti from Tbilisi). In this case, the Turkish factor should also be taken into account. With the political surrender of Karabakh, Ankara will demand certain preferences. These can be territorial concessions both in Syria (but this is definitely not Europe), and in Bulgaria, where the share of the Turkish population is significant.
And as a conclusion. Such territorial changes should not be taken very seriously. I repeat, they can only be possible if a huge number of factors come together - and first of all, socio-political instability on the European continent. However, the likelihood that in 2035 political map Europe will be close to our model, there. And it is worth at least taking into account.
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You don't have to be a psychic to predict the future. Sometimes it is enough just to analyze the present.
website compiled a list of 17 events that are highly likely to occur before the end of the first half of the 21st century.
2019: new countries may appear on the world map
Bougainville's island pacific ocean formally it is an autonomous territory of Papua New Guinea, but already in 2019 it can become a separate state, provided that the majority of its inhabitants vote for this decision in a referendum. Also, New Caledonia, which is currently part of France, can become a separate state.
2020: The tallest building in the world will be completed
To date, the tallest building in the world is the Burj Khalifa skyscraper in Dubai, but in 2020 this record will be broken. By that time in Saudi Arabia the construction of the Jeddah Tower will be completed, the height of which, together with the spire, will be 1,007 meters.
2020: First space hotel opens
Bigelow Aerospace, a private company, plans to launch a habitable module into low-Earth orbit, designed to receive guests from Earth. Tests of such modules were successful, and one of them is even used by the ISS astronauts as a pantry.
2024: SpaceX rocket will go to Mars
SpaceX, founded in 2002 by Elon Musk, plans to send a cargo ship to the Red Planet first, and later the first person.
2025: The world's population will reach 8 billion people
According to UN forecasts, the population of our planet in 2025 will be 8 billion people, and by 2050, according to some estimates, it can reach 10 billion.
2026: The Sagrada Familia in Barcelona is completed
This church is a real long-term construction, because it began to be built on public donations back in 1883. The rapid completion of construction is hampered by the complexity of manufacturing stone blocks, since each of them requires individual processing and fitting.
2028: Venice may become uninhabitable
2029: Earth will approach the asteroid Apophis at a distance of 38,400 km
According to scientists' initial estimates, the probability of a collision of this asteroid with the Earth in 2029 was 2.7%. But then it was completely ruled out, which cannot yet be said about the next encounters of Apophis with our planet.
2030: Arctic ice sheet reaches new low
The size of the Arctic ice sheet is steadily decreasing and, according to some statements, up to late XXI century, the Arctic Ocean will begin to be completely free of ice in the summer.
2033: A manned flight to Mars under the Aurora program will take place
The program of the European Space Agency is aimed at studying the Moon, Mars and asteroids and includes both automatic flights and manned flights. Before people are sent to Mars, cargo will be sent there and they will work out the technologies for landing and returning to Earth.
2035: Russia plans to implement quantum teleportation
Let us immediately make a reservation that there is no talk of any instantaneous movement of material objects in space. Quantum teleportation involves the creation of a reliable communication system that will carry out the transfer of the polarization state of photons in space.
2036: probes set off to explore the Alpha Centauri star system
As part of the Breakthrough Starshot project to our nearest solar system it is supposed to send a fleet from spaceships equipped with a solar sail. It will take them about 20 years to reach the Alpha Centauri system and about 5 more years to report a successful arrival to Earth.
2038: The US National Archives will solve the mystery of the assassination of John F. Kennedy
Despite the fact that Lee Harvey Oswald was recognized as the assassin of John F. Kennedy, this version still raises many questions to this day: not everyone believes in it. But be that as it may, information about this crime was classified until 2038 - probably for good reason.
