Spring has passed, summer of 2018 has come. But nothing much has changed: as it was cold, it is. Looking at the weather outside the window, you will not immediately understand what time of the year you are. Not the end Ural April, not that dank October. Although the calendar says optimistically: we are in June!

Are the current cold, windy spring and bleak beginning of summer a rarity? Or are such vagaries of the weather in the order of things? When will real summer come? The answers to these questions were given by the leading specialists of the Ural Department for Hydrometeorology and Monitoring environment.

To start Lyudmila Petrovna Savarynyuk, Head of Agricultural Forecasts Department, suggested remembering exactly how spring "sneaked" into the Urals this year:

- In most of the region, the snow came down on April 15-20. The soil has begun to thaw. But it held back cold weather, frequent precipitation in late April and early May. From time to time, snow cover was established in some areas of the region. More than 200 percent of the precipitation fell from April 20 to May 10. And in the east of the region - up to 400 percent. average temperature air in the same period was 2.5 degrees below normal. Quite intense night frosts were also observed in the first decade of May.

Such weather delayed the drying of the soil, so the start of the sowing campaign was delayed by 10-20 days. According to weather stations, the physical ripeness, when it is possible to start sowing crops, the soil reached by May 15, and in some areas even later.

It would seem that by mid-May the earth warmed up to desired temperature- up to 8-12 degrees, but again the weather intervened - again cold, strong winds, precipitation. The average temperature in May also lagged behind the climatic norm by 2-3 degrees.

- Over the past 20 years, a similar picture was observed in 2004, 2009 and 2014, that is, every fifth year - L.P. Savarynyuk. - The start of agricultural work was then also delayed for 7-10 days. But in those years, the May weather reached faster good performance, on some days the temperature rose to 28, and even up to 30 degrees. The average monthly temperature in May in those years was 2-3 degrees above the norm. And this year, the level of May heat was low, by the end of the month it did not reach an average of 10 degrees Celsius per day.

Such weather seriously slowed down the sowing campaign: according to the regional Ministry of Agriculture, only 50 percent of the spring wedge was sown by the end of May. The delay in sowing will affect the growing season of agricultural plants, as a result, this may lead to late maturation of spring crops. This, in turn, entails late dates harvesting, and the weather in September in the Urals cannot boast of warmth either. The result is yield loss.

The reasons for the current unstable weather told Galina Andriyanovna Sheporenko, chief forecaster Ural Department for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring:

- In April and May climatic conditions characterized by a pronounced predominance of northwestern atmospheric currents. In the Urals, the weather was "conducted" by an extensive anticyclone, the center of which migrated in the regions of Taimyr and the Kara Sea and caused the frequent invasion of cold air masses to us. atmospheric fronts and cyclones on our territory were very frequent: four cold anticyclones passed in May. The prevailing opinion that if it is warm in Moscow, then in two days this weather will reach the Urals, this time was not justified. Only a few short bursts of heat made their way to us. As a result, the average temperature in May turned out to be 6 degrees lower than in Moscow.

The active frontal zone over the Urals also provoked partial strong winds.

According to the climatic norm, very windy - at a speed of 15 meters per second or more - should be 2-3 days during May. Today it was observed 7-8 days.

Frosts were also frequent in May. For example, at a weather station in the Rezhevsky district, where frosts are traditionally very often observed, these turned out to be almost every third night during May.

- Last year, the summer was also very heterogeneous, - G.A. Sheporenko. – The first half was very rainy, the soil was waterlogged. The second half turned out to be more favorable, in August there were even hot days. And the harvest was more or less normal. And such weather situations as this spring have already happened during the observation period. For example, the spring of 1985 turned out to be very cold, especially the second half of May, with intense frosts, which led to the freezing of already sown crops. In the Kurgan region, up to 70 percent of crops then froze. Frosts in that year were observed almost until mid-June. So the current weather is not unique.

The weather situation, according to forecasters, should improve by mid-June. So far, we have observed precipitation in the form of light snow in the first days of summer. Favorable days, of course, will fall to us, but it is too early to talk about stable warming.

And yet, it remains to be hoped that for the Urals, nature has more than just bad weather in store.

“June is traditionally not a very reliable month for us. Therefore, we will have patience, ”the chief weather forecaster of the Middle Urals suggested.

According to the long-term forecast of the Federal Hydrometeorological Center, July in the Urals should be without cataclysms, with temperatures and precipitation habitual for the region. Recall that in our country the average monthly temperature is considered the norm for July, taking into account night and daytime indicators, - 17-19 degrees. Long-term forecasts are not very reliable. At least it shouldn't be worse than last year. Only now, alas, there is no longer any hope for high yields.

Natalya Bereznyakova

Recall that earlier a specialist of the Ural Research Institute Agriculture during the correspondence "hot line" told

The study of weather forecasts for the summer allows each tourist to easily choose the time to travel. We have collected detailed information about what the summer of 2018 will be like in Russia. Data on precipitation, temperature in Moscow, St. Petersburg, the Urals will help to get a complete picture of weather changes. Data on what the summer will be like in the south and north will help you easily determine the city where travelers will go. We also recommend that you find out before the trip whether it will rain, heat or warm in the city where the tourists will go.

What will be the summer of 2018 in Russia weather forecasts for temperature, precipitation

According to weather forecasters, there will be no cardinal differences in summer weather for the current and last year. The central regions will be kept warm with only occasional rainfall. For the northern and southern regions, these data may differ slightly. To learn more about what the summer of 2018 will be like in Russia, our forecasts will help.

Weather forecasts for summer 2018 for Russia - precipitation, temperature data

Warming in Russia should be expected at the end of May. In June, the temperature in the central part will rise to +20 degrees, but in July it will already be about +27 degrees. The same heat will last until the end of August.

What will be the summer of 2018 in Russia - weather forecasts for the south and north

AT different parts The country's summer temperatures and rainfall vary greatly. To learn more about what the summer of 2018 will be like for the south and north of Russia, our forecasts will help.

What will summer be like in 2018 in the southern and northern parts of Russia?

In the southern part of Russia, the temperature will be high. Therefore, residents of this region should prepare for the usual heat of about +30 degrees and above. In the northern part of the country, the highest temperature in summer will be about +25, +27 degrees. Occasional showers are possible.

What will the weather be like this summer in Russia - forecasts for Moscow, St. Petersburg, the Urals

Using the forecasts we have selected, readers can easily find out what the weather will be this summer in the Urals, in Moscow, St. Petersburg. Accurate data will help you easily choose the best travel time.

What will be the summer of 2018 in Moscow and St. Petersburg?

In June, it will be quite warm in Moscow and St. Petersburg, with only occasional rains. But in July and August, heat sets in with temperatures of the order of +27 and +30 degrees.

What will be the summer in 2018 in the Urals - weather forecasts

In June, there will be frequent rains in the Urals. In July, this region will be characterized by heat, stuffiness and occasional rainfall. But in August, pleasant warm weather will be observed.

At the end of March, the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia published its weather forecast for the next six months - from April to September 2018. Such forecasts are made so that the authorities in one or another part of the country can assess the risks of natural disasters, the approximate degree of fire risk for the next summer season, etc. Forecasts for the spring-summer season are also important for agricultural enterprises. Of course, such long-term forecasts will also be of interest to ordinary residents of a particular region, especially in terms of weather in summer months. What will be the summer of 2018 in the Urals - will the summer be warmer relative to the average multi-year indicators, is it worth fearing a rainy summer this year. The probability of the presented forecasts is estimated by the Hydrometeorological Center itself at 69-72%.

May in the Urals in 2018 will be warmer than last year

The weather in the Urals in May 2018 will be slightly more comfortable than it was in 2017. In the main territory of the Urals, the air temperature will correspond to the average long-term values, and in the north of the district (to the north of Yekaterinburg, towards Polar Urals) and will be warmer than usual this month.

The average day and night temperatures in May for the capitals of the Ural regions look like this:

Approximately the same average air temperature can be expected in May 2018.

As for the amount of precipitation, it will also correspond to the average values. In the north of the Sverdlovsk and Tyumen regions, precipitation will be less than usual.

June 2018 in the Urals - in some places a little more rainy than usual

In June on the territory of the Ural federal district we should also expect air temperatures at the level of average long-term observations. Only in the very north of the district, in the Salekhard region, will average temperatures be above average.

In the main Ural cities, the average monthly temperature for June is as follows:

As for the amount of precipitation, in general it will correspond to the average values, but in the northwestern part of the Urals district, on the border of the Sverdlovsk region and Perm Territory, June will be a little more rainy than usual.

July 2018 in the Urals will be hot and rainy

Most of the Urals, from Chelyabinsk and Kurgan in the south to Khanty-Mansiysk and Surgut in the north, will enjoy hot weather in July. The average temperature in July 2018 is expected to be higher than the average observations for that month.

The temperature corresponding to the average for July is expected in the north of the district, in particular, in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug.

July average day and night temperatures in largest cities districts are:

For Chelyabinsk, Yekaterinburg, Tyumen and Kurgan, the month will be rainier than the average for this month. In the north of the district, the amount of precipitation will be typical for July.

August 2018 in the east of the Urals will be rainy

In August 2018, according to the long-term forecast of weather forecasters, the air temperature throughout the Urals will correspond to the climatic norm for this month. Accordingly, you can focus on the averages for this month:

In the eastern regions of the Urals, in the Tyumen and Kurgan regions, the amount of precipitation will be above the norm, and August will be rainy.

Snow that fell in the Middle Urals and does not leave with spring abnormal cold caused a mass death of swifts in early June. The case in history is not the first and, unfortunately, not the last - the weather in the Urals does not bode well yet: once again it has been announced a storm warning. But patterns recent years predict a warm July.

Sorry birds!

The beginning of the Ural summer was unexpected for the inhabitants of the Middle Urals: in the early morning on Children's Day, snow fell unconventionally for the region, and the air temperature was 7 degrees below normal. Social networks they were full of photos of snow-covered yards, streets and cars from different regions of the Sverdlovsk region, and the posts were filled with numerous jokes in the spirit of: “There was no spring, there will be no summer”, “Everything you need to know about the Ural summer” and so on. Unfortunately, not only sad jokes were marked by the coming cold, but also by the mass death of birds - swifts.

In many areas, eyewitnesses observed a terrible picture: tiny hundreds of swifts fell dead to the ground. "Apocalypse" was observed in Yekaterinburg, Revda and on the highway near Nizhny Tagil, where helpless birds fell right under the wheels of passing cars.

If conspiracy lovers have traditionally tried to build the next versions of the “foreshadowing of the apocalypse”, then scientists explained the death of birds precisely by abnormally cold weather in the Middle Urals. Moreover, the dependence turned out to be not direct, but associated with the absence of flying insects due to cold day and night. “From hunger, swifts quickly get tired and fall to the ground. This is how their mass death can be explained. And this is not the first case with a similar outcome: this happened in July 2014, when there was a prolonged cooling,” notes Nina Sadykova, Researcher at the Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

The expert says that part of the nomadic swifts managed to leave the cold region, flying to the heat, but some were doomed to death and, most likely, will die. It is possible that the Urals will have to observe the “apocalyptic” picture more than once, because weather forecasters admit that the spring and early summer of 2018 turned out to be abnormally cold.

The instability in the weather is associated with the Arctic anticyclones that came to the region: only in May they passed through the territory of the Ural region four times. Forecasters say that until June 12, the weather will still unpleasantly surprise the residents of the Sverdlovsk region, but in general, summer is expected to be no worse than last year. “During the day the temperature will be 18-23 degrees Celsius, at night -9-14. But throughout the month there will be cold and warm periods. The average temperature in July is 17-19 degrees Celsius, within the normal range,” says leading forecaster of the Uralhydrometeorological center Galina Sheporenko.

ON A NOTE

Swifts are world-famous exterminators of insects, including blood-sucking ones. Seeing the injured swift on the road, save his life: 1) place him in a box (not in a cage); 2) give a couple of drops of water from the syringe to the base of the beak; 3) feed exclusively on insects (cricket, cockroach, grasshopper) 3-4 times a day; 4) it is necessary to release the swift when it gets warmer.

"Shifts" in the weather

The pre-summer cooling in the Urals actually looks like an anomaly. This is recognized by scientists of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, who note that this happens once every 20 years. “This was observed in 1999, and for the XXI century it is really the coldest spring. If you analyze on a century scale, then she did not break the bottom record average monthly temperature- 1.6 degrees of heat, while this figure is 1.2 degrees, ”says Rishat Khantemirov, a leading researcher at the Dendrochronology Laboratory of the Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

According to the observations of the specialist, for 10 days (from May 26 to June 3) the air temperature was 7-10 degrees below the average. But this does not give reason to say that the climate is changing, all the more dramatically. In simple words, it's just a cold spring and a cold start to summer. The weather changes as part of natural variability as a result of warming recent decades. “The only thing I have noticed over the past 10 years is that in 2014 and 2016 August was 2 degrees warmer than July. This was not the case before. Whether this is a trend or not, it is too early to say,” Khantemirov notes.

As the scientist notes, July 2018 is likely to be warm - this is another pattern that a specialist in the field of dendrochronology has come to. “I noticed that when the cold March passes, then, as a rule, July happens to be warmer than usual. Who knows if this pattern will continue, but I can’t give other explanations,” concludes Rishat Khantemirov.

the temperature was below normal at the end of May.